TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc93…1489

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.63
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.68
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$121.16
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.69
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$105.31
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$57.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$91.89
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.88
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$142.7
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.35
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.86
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.78
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.52
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.78
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$168.77
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.89
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Ranking Matchesbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$148.32
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$151.7
Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.37
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$558.93
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.49
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$31.08
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$43.88
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$168.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.23
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$127.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.