Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x014f6ad0f60bd1edd9f722db5e29dc34eb3e6d13d724e5e6fab14c86c908b185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,030$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.82 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 34c | 668.88$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 249.79$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…1489backed Yes | 71c | 221.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 25c | 221.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 73c | 120.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 73c | 73.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 49.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 75c | 37.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 75c | 26.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.