Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba69acbef80c3124c8ea46f7fd85fa7072144494c24dc24e2b859b06b31b7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $960,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 17c | 125,361$21,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,228.39 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 17c | 78,380$13,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,181.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 17c | 67,006$11,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,144.17 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 17c | 63,664$11,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,060.65 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed No | 22c | 53,390$11,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,973.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 17c | 44,999$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.89 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 17c | 30,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 26,184$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 18c | 21,064$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892.13 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 18c | 18,415$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.68 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 11c | 16,641$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.5 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 18c | 13,516$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.87 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 5c | 12,033$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.44 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 16c | 11,900$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.99 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 17c | 8,634$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.79 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 17c | 4,940$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 18c | 4,880$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…a005backed No | 19c | 4,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 17c | 4,461$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.07 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 75c | 3,768$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.6 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 10c | 3,693$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 14c | 2,300$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 2,273$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked No | 19c | 2,156$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…e672backed No | 17c | 1,869$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 18c | 1,810$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 17c | 1,479$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,442$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.94 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 19c | 1,430$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.69 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 8c | 1,384$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 19c | 1,362$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 11c | 1,112$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 18c | 1,043$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed No | 21c | 1,035$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.65 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…20f1backed No | 18c | 900$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 18c | 850$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 17c | 837.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…1489backed Yes | 77c | 727.92$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 17c | 684$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked Yes | 76c | 676.35$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 77c | 652.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba7…fbaabacked Yes | 80c | 601.58$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 76c | 587.51$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 555.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 19c | 524.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 77c | 518.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed No | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 18c | 498.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 75c | 445.23$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 438$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 17c | 422.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 77c | 409.01$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 76c | 407.2$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 17c | 399$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…3155backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 18c | 391.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 73c | 360.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 17c | 333$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked No | 6c | 329$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 18c | 317.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Yes | 79c | 301$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…670cbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 18c | 288$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 18c | 276.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 18c | 263.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 17c | 261.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 254.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 19c | 246$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 7c | 230.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…b190backed No | 18c | 220$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 17c | 208.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed No | 19c | 196.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 18c | 185$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 17c | 171$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 17c | 170.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…ebe3backed Yes | 77c | 168.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 18c | 165.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…94b0backed No | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 79c | 152.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 17c | 151.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…be50backed No | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…5bc6backed Yes | 77c | 143.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. West Ham end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.