TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$676,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$799,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Dplus KIA1c79,108$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.832844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Dplus KIA43c51,853$22,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,450.638847.7%42 W · 46 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Dplus KIA26c33,806$8,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,662.5133838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed T157c30,557$17,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,224.118447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed T156c29,747$16,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,088.86826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA44c28,983$12,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,613.1364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed T173c26,913$19,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,261.4227353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed T158c26,635$15,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,186.811060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Dplus KIA42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…dc9ebacked T155c19,837$10,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,941.826643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Dplus KIA4c19,189$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.541,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T175c12,948$9,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.1225143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed T168c11,983$8,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.861,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…dbabbacked Dplus KIA42c9,851$4,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,114.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA43c9,795$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.243,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Dplus KIA32c9,269$2,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,950.986950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dplus KIA32c8,301$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.221,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed T157c7,577$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.1538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked T176c7,093$5,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.351,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed T176c7,087$5,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.8969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Dplus KIA24c7,019$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.4522624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked T175c6,831$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.781,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Dplus KIA44c6,347$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.932440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Dplus KIA25c6,275$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.8281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Dplus KIA44c5,932$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.0848440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Dplus KIA32c5,638$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.881,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T157c5,508$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.441,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed T177c5,402$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.525952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6100…ed95backed Dplus KIA28c5,153$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.038259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Dplus KIA9c5,100$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9529527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T174c5,062$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.762,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Dplus KIA42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed T175c4,788$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.9648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed T155c4,750$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked T173c4,410$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.242941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T158c4,289$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.432,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked T157c3,995$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.8460347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Dplus KIA25c3,900$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97514327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4956backed Dplus KIA31c3,595$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.2617751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dplus KIA45c3,328$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.451,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Dplus KIA4c3,200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Dplus KIA43c3,170$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.1696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked T174c3,007$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.5795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Dplus KIA43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9849541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed T155c2,889$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.351,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Dplus KIA44c2,844$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.4624359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T163c2,751$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.9459558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Dplus KIA42c2,737$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.446741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T179c2,711$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.539964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed T158c2,700$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.0845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed Dplus KIA44c2,513$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.758041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked T159c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9987844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed T170c2,487$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.1816254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Dplus KIA34c2,424$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.031,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Dplus KIA24c2,311$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.4953355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Dplus KIA25c2,292$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Dplus KIA23c2,250$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.56432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Dplus KIA46c2,153$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.333056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4b…1928backed T175c2,130$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.613850%19 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dplus KIA23c2,121$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.891,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA25c2,121$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.651,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked T157c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86083560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dplus KIA41c1,873$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.5396250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Dplus KIA42c1,820$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.432844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed T158c1,737$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.28827.3%24 W · 64 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Dplus KIA44c1,731$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.528549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9067…bfaabacked Dplus KIA6c1,717$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.811040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed T171c1,711$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7715062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f30dbacked T157c1,707$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.374557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T175c1,685$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.241,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed T158c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.898560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Dplus KIA36c1,631$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.3717744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T163c1,617$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.683,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T180c1,613$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8645366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked T157c1,607$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.1923252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Dplus KIA43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6881,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed T156c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked T161c1,449$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.143243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed T156c1,421$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.0711249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed T157c1,403$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.291,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…b1fabacked T179c1,397$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.084438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked T177c1,370$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0633058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T172c1,352$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Dplus KIA9c1,345$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7423624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed T157c1,322$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.421,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dplus KIA43c1,307$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.8967250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked T157c1,283$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6410055%55 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed T175c1,261$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.351,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked T167c1,254$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T160c1,231$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.571,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed T176c1,228$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1285442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Dplus KIA42c1,175$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3513933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Dplus KIA33c1,165$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3724436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed T157c1,109$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.741,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Dplus KIA35c1,079$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6742852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Dplus KIA25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked T157c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43034651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed T158c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42026443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Dplus KIA25c977.2$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5352650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Dplus KIA46c925.93$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.934353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.