Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094b3352ddc76d3f6a44663a3a6f3b4fd942cd25d275382169c3bf7ba449f0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 50c | 7,559$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.71 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 5,933$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.5 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 47c | 1,884$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.54 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 32c | 1,432$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 52c | 1,156$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.49 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,101$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.56 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 52c | 999.81$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.9 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 48c | 781.24$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 49c | 556.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 449.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Over | 53c | 412.92$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 302.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 51c | 300.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Over | 48c | 300.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 251.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 79c | 248.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 221.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 56c | 198.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Over | 49c | 196.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 19c | 190.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Under | 49c | 170.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 49c | 123.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 53c | 119.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…16c3backed Over | 51c | 119.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 49c | 109.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 54c | 99.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 49c | 98.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 48c | 76.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 49c | 73.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Over | 49c | 65.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Under | 53c | 63.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…48cebacked Under | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…7eeabacked Over | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Over | 48c | 49.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…13b0backed Under | 26c | 41.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…5886backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 39.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…2ee0backed Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Over | 48c | 38.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 52c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Over | 52c | 32.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…1e77backed Over | 52c | 31.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 43c | 29.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 53c | 29.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 53c | 22.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 56c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Over | 76c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.