TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,175,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,333,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,175,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Dplus KIA45c208,664$94,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,604.4855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63a5…8e33backed Dplus KIA45c136,307$61,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,402.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked T154c105,008$56,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,940.516141%25 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed T154c71,149$38,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,420.642065%13 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed T11c69,998$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.962844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed T154c56,482$30,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,659.5311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Dplus KIA46c49,418$22,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,685.731,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T151c41,457$21,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,188.242,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked T18c25,936$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.31,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed T154c22,678$12,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,246.0911650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Dplus KIA46c21,162$9,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,487.64040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed T155c19,460$10,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,70354353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed T158c18,816$10,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,904.3548149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Dplus KIA46c17,865$8,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,647.0854756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed T129c17,334$5,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,028.1411060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Dplus KIA53c16,321$8,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,744.91,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed T157c15,426$8,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,792.5538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T148c13,469$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,525.4425143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA46c13,330$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,198.261,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T157c12,664$7,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,202.3639851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed T155c10,957$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.921,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed T144c10,232$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.2622624.8%56 W · 170 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6100…ed95backed T154c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.998259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Dplus KIA43c9,658$4,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,505.0631328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Dplus KIA46c8,805$4,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,715.551,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA41c7,688$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,556.291,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked T155c7,616$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.5759248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T151c7,388$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.71,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Dplus KIA45c7,198$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.091,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed T156c7,117$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.7920035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x844c…2998backed T16c6,798$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.822832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed T12c6,716$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.435833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Dplus KIA46c6,533$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.951,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed T155c6,258$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.851,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dplus KIA47c6,199$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,274.4570456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Dplus KIA50c5,993$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,996.318971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Dplus KIA41c5,944$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.71,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA46c5,901$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.6582352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Dplus KIA46c5,901$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.6564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA75c5,651$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.911,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed T155c5,471$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.3818447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed T153c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed T155c4,953$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.1948448.6%235 W · 249 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked T155c4,917$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.5242941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Dplus KIA46c4,737$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.231,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked T150c4,602$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.0282044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Dplus KIA46c4,496$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.081,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed T110c4,487$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.767869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked T155c4,257$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.5275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Dplus KIA80c4,109$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.424641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed T155c4,034$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.4417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Dplus KIA47c3,873$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.221,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed T125c3,813$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3225952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Dplus KIA52c3,556$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.1728166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed T16c3,471$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.7129527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked T157c3,408$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.8187844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed T155c3,253$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.3210048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked T153c3,189$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.3443442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed T154c3,115$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.152,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Dplus KIA44c3,009$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.252669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Dplus KIA60c2,996$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.3948440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Dplus KIA47c2,951$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.291,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked T158c2,949$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.6483560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked T155c2,919$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.452,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked T155c2,917$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.332,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Dplus KIA71c2,898$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.0569539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed T157c2,820$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.2827957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed T157c2,807$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.572360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dplus KIA45c2,801$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.0167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T118c2,763$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1259558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4431…f851backed T143c2,718$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.6612035.8%43 W · 77 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed T149c2,703$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked T17c2,688$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.349218.5%17 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Dplus KIA46c2,674$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.6445041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x112a…b731backed Dplus KIA46c2,622$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Dplus KIA46c2,538$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.4271249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Dplus KIA62c2,496$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.461,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed T155c2,385$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.5316844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Dplus KIA46c2,305$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.9282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed T135c2,288$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.573,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Dplus KIA46c2,265$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.3110058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…b1fabacked T133c2,219$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.044438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed T156c2,198$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.915431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Dplus KIA44c2,192$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.58549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA61c2,170$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.691,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Dplus KIA42c2,141$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.5233838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T142c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84096057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Dplus KIA39c1,900$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.998458.3%49 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked T110c1,900$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.61,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked T152c1,823$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.8350242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked T154c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.426549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed T159c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.48560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T155c1,604$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.482,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked T154c1,600$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8641,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed T156c1,596$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.8312655.6%70 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed T154c1,593$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.4539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dplus KIA42c1,536$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.283,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f30dbacked T158c1,513$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.324557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked T11c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked T154c1,497$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6527447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.