Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97085e1ccb7e3928d7213e089234c56f294aa5b606cbd26f1f3605fc713641a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01d9…27a3backed T1 | 35c | 3,058$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Dplus KIA | 66c | 2,592$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.4 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed T1 | 34c | 1,397$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.32 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 1,118$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Dplus KIA | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Dplus KIA | 64c | 887.99$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 34c | 864.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 33c | 727.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 567.12$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA | 64c | 434.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…c501backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Dplus KIA | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked T1 | 35c | 389.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed T1 | 34c | 338.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked T1 | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Dplus KIA | 69c | 300.25$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked T1 | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked T1 | 32c | 286.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed T1 | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed T1 | 36c | 269.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked T1 | 36c | 269.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed T1 | 33c | 221.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed T1 | 32c | 201.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked Dplus KIA | 68c | 201.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA | 70c | 196.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked T1 | 34c | 195.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed T1 | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 102.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed T1 | 33c | 89.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Dplus KIA | 66c | 89.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 77.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Dplus KIA | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed T1 | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed T1 | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Dplus KIA | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dplus KIA | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ba…0acfbacked T1 | 34c | 48.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked T1 | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Dplus KIA | 67c | 43.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…6b68backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Dplus KIA | 67c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Dplus KIA | 66c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 2?T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.