Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: Australia vs. England
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ab5b4d485e72f1519f85cfbffbf1774935c276b59d0b173ce6eb665cfb0e736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Australiaof Australia, England
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Australia | 61c | 8,807$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.53 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked England | 29c | 6,541$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed England | 34c | 5,050$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.77 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked England | 38c | 3,554$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed England | 31c | 2,769$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.82 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Australia | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Australia | 70c | 1,636$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Australia | 71c | 1,390$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Australia | 67c | 1,208$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed England | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed England | 55c | 978.18$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed England | 33c | 747.6$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked England | 9c | 560.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed England | 30c | 526.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked England | 8c | 444$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed England | 28c | 420.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked England | 24c | 396.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked England | 51c | 354.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked England | 48c | 329.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed England | 19c | 297.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed England | 56c | 275.43$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe9…3df4backed Australia | 75c | 225.71$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Australia | 71c | 199.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed England | 32c | 178.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Australia | 77c | 170.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Australia | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Australia | 76c | 131.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Australia | 54c | 128.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked England | 41c | 90.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Australia | 79c | 89.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b7…18f2backed Australia | 51c | 86.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…e02dbacked Australia | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed England | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Australia | 71c | 47.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…221cbacked Australia | 80c | 37.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Australia | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Australia | 60c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Australia | 62c | 17.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.