Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 4)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23c37ded4ac6e6c780cd030a37c792a0d34aebc269861ce7356c70748cc271c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pakistanof Pakistan, Zimbabwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Zimbabwe | 4c | 21,172$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.47 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f78…3638backed Pakistan | 9c | 16,477$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,994.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Zimbabwe | 23c | 7,808$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Zimbabwe | 9c | 5,870$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.72 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zimbabwe | 1c | 4,643$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Zimbabwe | 17c | 4,335$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.43 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pakistan | 77c | 1,884$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.74 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pakistan | 78c | 1,880$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.92 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Zimbabwe | 5c | 1,869$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…72a6backed Zimbabwe | 1c | 1,850$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Zimbabwe | 14c | 1,767$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.32 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…15f1backed Zimbabwe | 22c | 1,615$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Zimbabwe | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Zimbabwe | 8c | 1,115$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zimbabwe | 6c | 908.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Zimbabwe | 4c | 896.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Zimbabwe | 13c | 895.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Zimbabwe | 12c | 551.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed Zimbabwe | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zimbabwe | 13c | 484.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Zimbabwe | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed Zimbabwe | 14c | 457$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Zimbabwe | 11c | 362.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Zimbabwe | 14c | 290.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Zimbabwe | 19c | 258.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d2…1facbacked Zimbabwe | 22c | 250.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa44…56d4backed Zimbabwe | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…d559backed Zimbabwe | 12c | 222.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Zimbabwe | 15c | 217.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Zimbabwe | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…3d4abacked Zimbabwe | 9c | 198.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…d6e8backed Zimbabwe | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…8a39backed Zimbabwe | 10c | 145.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 27.3%53 W · 141 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Zimbabwe | 17c | 120.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Zimbabwe | 28c | 98.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Zimbabwe | 15c | 95.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…ed41backed Zimbabwe | 15c | 94.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Zimbabwe | 15c | 84.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pakistan | 76c | 84.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…adc1backed Zimbabwe | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Zimbabwe | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d668backed Zimbabwe | 18c | 55.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pakistan | 74c | 35.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…491fbacked Pakistan | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…fb6bbacked Pakistan | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…a1abbacked Pakistan | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Pakistan | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…a260backed Pakistan | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.