Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb7272dfc56f09e30ec3ad1f9f902bd25334624189bb3c179b9ce104bdbc437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 5,100$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,961$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 55c | 2,003$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 26c | 1,878$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,679$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 25c | 1,198$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.75 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b2febacked Yes | 37c | 1,004$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 999.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 3c | 949.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked No | 66c | 761.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 562.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 6c | 504.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 3c | 333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 71c | 256$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 4c | 250.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed Yes | 25c | 80.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 20c | 55.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…6968backed Yes | 60c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will AEK vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AEK win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.