Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00d5ca4a6e429b5ea3d3381481e40f5ea36bb249c042b7c51f2ad03ee2f3c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba0…747abacked Yes | 20c | 110,619$21,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,729 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 80c | 26,864$21,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.39 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed No | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 6c | 12,556$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 80c | 9,311$7,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.65 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 8,499$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 14c | 6,945$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.65 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 21c | 3,612$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 12c | 2,999$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.88 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 2,680$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 80c | 2,028$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…e934backed Yes | 19c | 1,952$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 1,647$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.73 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…b120backed Yes | 16c | 1,617$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…d256backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 1,049$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.05 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 19c | 1,009$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 80c | 937.5$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 16c | 915.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 6c | 799.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 17c | 566$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 14c | 438.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 24c | 400$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab03…9725backed Yes | 20c | 391.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 331.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 24c | 237.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…606fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…351fbacked Yes | 14c | 182.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…a365backed Yes | 13c | 163.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…492dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…17cfbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…b7f7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…caf3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…b997backed Yes | 13c | 133.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…1b24backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…9486backed Yes | 20c | 124.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…b355backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…4118backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 19c | 107.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…cde5backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 20c | 99.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 12c | 99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 19c | 89.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…cb87backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 20c | 69.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…2e00backed Yes | 19c | 67.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2319…4029backed Yes | 20c | 50.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…49eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…274fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0546backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 80c | 26.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9a61backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.