Cricket · resolved market
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 29)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f602846a0d2958f24355f2c04c87d277246d39fab38716f834f1e3e08a5545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Indiesof Bangladesh, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Bangladesh | 58c | 7,397$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.19 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed West Indies | 43c | 4,597$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked West Indies | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked West Indies | 40c | 1,020$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed West Indies | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Bangladesh | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Bangladesh | 69c | 364.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked West Indies | 40c | 210.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed West Indies | 41c | 155.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Bangladesh | 61c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…9cdcbacked Bangladesh | 69c | 117.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed West Indies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Bangladesh | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…9e9fbacked West Indies | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Bangladesh | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 22.7%32 W · 109 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bangladesh | 50c | 80.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…d84bbacked Bangladesh | 66c | 75.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Bangladesh | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked West Indies | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed West Indies | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed West Indies | 50c | 46.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…638ebacked West Indies | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…6f6cbacked Bangladesh | 67c | 29.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.