Cricket · resolved market
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ce8c7b93a2262327130610811973f8e355067bee2f3c111108c7c1e5b447bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Indiesof New Zealand, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x490e…73adbacked New Zealand | 0c | 14,559$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…9e9fbacked New Zealand | 76c | 2,431$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed New Zealand | 6c | 1,680$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed New Zealand | 2c | 1,299$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed West Indies | 15c | 1,198$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.24 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked New Zealand | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +273%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed West Indies | 17c | 800$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed New Zealand | 31c | 472.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed West Indies | 23c | 447.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.4 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked West Indies | 23c | 419.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed New Zealand | 76c | 170$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…7b2dbacked New Zealand | 75c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…ada9backed New Zealand | 68c | 102.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…b7bcbacked New Zealand | 77c | 97.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed New Zealand | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…d9d9backed West Indies | 30c | 66.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed West Indies | 23c | 58.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked West Indies | 24c | 58.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed West Indies | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed West Indies | 26c | 38.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked West Indies | 27c | 37.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…ddd5backed West Indies | 64c | 26.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2fadbacked New Zealand | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.