Cricket · resolved market
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: England vs South Africa (Game Semi Finals)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29da1135e309f6b6c909240489e0750f729d0c214026c7dd968b875efb2b47b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof England, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed England | 39c | 6,655$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.49 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked England | 10c | 2,922$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed South Africa | 66c | 2,457$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 42c | 1,468$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.78 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked South Africa | 36c | 1,333$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.33 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked England | 2c | 1,254$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed England | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…e101backed England | 33c | 969.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 33c | 630$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.55 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed South Africa | 49c | 605$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.2 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed England | 60c | 354.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked England | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed England | 32c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed South Africa | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…d84bbacked South Africa | 37c | 143.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa | 47c | 143.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed South Africa | 72c | 142.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…f898backed South Africa | 57c | 138.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed England | 22c | 112.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d5…feeabacked South Africa | 35c | 105$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…cbc4backed England | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed England | 38c | 78.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed England | 38c | 65.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed South Africa | 70c | 59.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…9708backed South Africa | 76c | 57.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed England | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed South Africa | 70c | 41.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed South Africa | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.