Australian A League · resolved market
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x611f97718589475405ad1bd8a1dd05ae3f84865162b603313405ee0587555552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked No | 65c | 1,250$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…a3f3backed Yes | 56c | 1,045$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 906.33$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.06 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 36c | 814.72$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.91 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 644.79$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 33c | 424$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…f591backed Yes | 48c | 413.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 36c | 114.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked No | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…334ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Yes | 36c | 92.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…a618backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…4dfbbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 49c | 42.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.