TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Dolphins vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dolphinsof Dolphins, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Patriots45c8,751$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.7912051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Dolphins51c4,781$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.386944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Patriots29c4,502$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.9510639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Dolphins53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9814248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Dolphins75c2,447$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.655472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins61c2,110$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.5222638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Patriots68c1,696$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.576752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots30c1,582$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.544246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Patriots61c1,537$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Dolphins52c1,351$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.8816036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Dolphins54c1,195$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.577153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Dolphins36c833.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.338035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Dolphins54c830.43$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3826350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe335…9db0backed Dolphins56c780.63$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fee…39efbacked Patriots46c780.43$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Dolphins66c774.53$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8914457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbab1…0256backed Dolphins56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x531a…da3cbacked Patriots46c599.94$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.973652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Patriots69c570.26$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9910768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Dolphins53c565.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5992…26c4backed Patriots49c565.31$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb664…8669backed Patriots58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Patriots37c458.71$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7921713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc040…5649backed Dolphins50c417.6$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…2491backed Patriots52c417$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots6c406.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c4…ae78backed Dolphins56c390$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots47c357.02$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.836246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Patriots22c350$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.533328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Dolphins48c335.93$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.049645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Dolphins63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4621454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc498…24e3backed Patriots52c305.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Patriots48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14416832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Patriots60c298.68$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.215945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Patriots47c289.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13611949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa24…3d23backed Dolphins54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Patriots47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf866…75dcbacked Dolphins51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa03b…c3f1backed Dolphins67c262.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.664852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Dolphins51c241.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bc…e90fbacked Patriots49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2541…10bcbacked Patriots48c221.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fb…5a34backed Dolphins53c221.17$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Patriots48c207.7$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce84…304cbacked Patriots68c205.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.421540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Dolphins49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x423a…4f1dbacked Patriots51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…9897backed Dolphins51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2214…14dabacked Dolphins52c193$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6596…91e2backed Patriots52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Dolphins42c190.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.315558.2%32 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc261…ee34backed Dolphins53c178.21$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Patriots48c175$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2518051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Dolphins36c158.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.348321.7%18 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed3e…21a8backed Dolphins47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa11a…3dc2backed Dolphins52c145$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2833…e1edbacked Patriots48c145$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1f…8469backed Dolphins74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e94…365abacked Patriots51c127.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa435…383bbacked Dolphins51c125.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf631…e20fbacked Patriots53c122.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.527361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ee8…b5f5backed Patriots48c121.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99cc…266dbacked Dolphins55c120.42$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9515…7424backed Dolphins55c118.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d8…1fa0backed Patriots47c117.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1baa…2298backed Dolphins54c117.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…02c4backed Patriots47c117.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675b…822abacked Dolphins43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd99a…6ff4backed Dolphins55c114.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…012ebacked Patriots47c113.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Patriots21c111.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.173167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Dolphins45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.115754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Patriots47c111$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.175552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65a…65adbacked Patriots47c109.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x788e…fc22backed Dolphins55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Dolphins31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b8…762dbacked Patriots48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Dolphins54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d56…d62ebacked Patriots43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433129%9 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…3e13backed Patriots51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…92f7backed Dolphins51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…dcf4backed Dolphins53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a6…eecebacked Patriots48c99.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ee…1c11backed Dolphins54c98.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5069…940cbacked Dolphins54c98.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6862…f25dbacked Patriots48c98.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1590…e9c7backed Dolphins55c95.96$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb15d…3a19backed Dolphins54c95.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222c…3fb6backed Patriots48c95.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9032…ab38backed Dolphins54c94.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Dolphins53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3420758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa946…049dbacked Dolphins55c94.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…fe0abacked Patriots48c94.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd61…14b0backed Patriots48c93.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e1a…baf0backed Dolphins51c89.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.66862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ea…a661backed Patriots48c88.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e4…bcaabacked Dolphins54c88.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8366…88f5backed Patriots47c83.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4378…6da7backed Dolphins55c83.64$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf579…f2e1backed Patriots47c80.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.