NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b8bc70ec24f2cf4ba963ed41c39720a9b1252fc94bd718ecaace148b4fad2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Saints, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…4173backed Saints | 30c | 20,294$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.07 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Saints | 4c | 11,854$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.14 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Chiefs | 71c | 11,747$8,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.19 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Saints | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Chiefs | 68c | 9,213$6,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.33 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Saints | 30c | 8,849$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.23 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Saints | 30c | 8,631$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.07 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Chiefs | 77c | 6,204$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.56 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…b86abacked Saints | 2c | 4,809$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Chiefs | 73c | 4,368$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.28 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…5ff1backed Saints | 12c | 4,167$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Saints | 4c | 4,156$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Saints | 33c | 3,364$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…2f14backed Chiefs | 70c | 3,174$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Saints | 11c | 2,900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.77 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Saints | 17c | 2,859$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.79 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f7…138bbacked Saints | 32c | 2,255$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…c66ebacked Chiefs | 70c | 2,254$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Chiefs | 66c | 2,245$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.72 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…09a0backed Saints | 32c | 2,225$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Saints | 28c | 2,222$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…38a5backed Saints | 32c | 2,184$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Chiefs | 70c | 2,003$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…a832backed Saints | 32c | 1,980$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Saints | 21c | 1,870$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…d71fbacked Saints | 30c | 1,852$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…1c01backed Saints | 31c | 1,840$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Saints | 29c | 1,800$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.66 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…ee83backed Saints | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,500$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.98 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,458$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Saints | 32c | 1,420$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.77 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Saints | 26c | 1,308$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…0ba5backed Chiefs | 71c | 1,237$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Saints | 31c | 1,224$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.02 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…5649backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,200$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…2491backed Saints | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Saints | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.93 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Saints | 24c | 1,094$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Saints | 36c | 1,012$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Saints | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.83 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Saints | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Saints | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…f9c0backed Chiefs | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Chiefs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Saints | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Saints | 32c | 993.75$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Saints | 12c | 984.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…cbdfbacked Chiefs | 69c | 960.11$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Chiefs | 69c | 845$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…bbc4backed Chiefs | 70c | 832.37$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Saints | 17c | 821.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Saints | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Saints | 21c | 756.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed Chiefs | 69c | 747$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Saints | 31c | 743.74$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.56 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Chiefs | 80c | 738.4$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Chiefs | 71c | 700$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Saints | 19c | 690$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…694cbacked Saints | 30c | 680$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Saints | 32c | 650$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chiefs | 69c | 623.57$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Saints | 29c | 604.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…570abacked Chiefs | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Saints | 24c | 592.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…807abacked Chiefs | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c52…23cabacked Saints | 31c | 571.42$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Saints | 17c | 555.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac8…b640backed Saints | 30c | 535.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Saints | 32c | 515$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Chiefs | 70c | 515$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chiefs | 67c | 514.79$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Saints | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Saints | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Saints | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Chiefs | 67c | 500$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…04d3backed Chiefs | 69c | 495.22$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8e…ed19backed Chiefs | 69c | 485.36$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Saints | 16c | 483.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…31d3backed Chiefs | 70c | 473.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…0356backed Saints | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Chiefs | 78c | 467.8$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…94c5backed Saints | 30c | 445.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Saints | 32c | 440.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6209backed Chiefs | 69c | 437.59$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Saints | 30c | 405.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Chiefs | 77c | 396.64$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 69c | 350$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Saints | 31c | 350$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Saints | 30c | 333.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Saints | 34c | 333$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Chiefs | 70c | 330.66$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…6ed5backed Chiefs | 70c | 329.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Chiefs | 69c | 316.4$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…e46ebacked Saints | 32c | 316.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…852dbacked Saints | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed Chiefs | 70c | 307.14$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…42febacked Chiefs | 69c | 304.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbc…2565backed Chiefs | 69c | 300.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.