Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b59512a918a48efbdcc5dc58f99b396f37aa922d81210b83b333855db608aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Florida Bullsof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 47c | 3,576$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 52c | 2,270$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed South Florida Bulls | 50c | 2,188$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 1,573$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.9 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed South Florida Bulls | 55c | 1,360$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…01f2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 954.02$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 760.66$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 71c | 715.76$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 23c | 680.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Florida Bulls | 77c | 633$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 63c | 570.63$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9211…4886backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 473.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed South Florida Bulls | 56c | 398.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked South Florida Bulls | 41c | 353.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 211.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 64c | 199.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…aa48backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 192$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 56c | 177$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 55c | 109.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…bac9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 86.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 83.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked South Florida Bulls | 66c | 75.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…875abacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed South Florida Bulls | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 24c | 59.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed South Florida Bulls | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed South Florida Bulls | 34c | 47.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls | 46c | 42.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…c56cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 64c | 41.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed South Florida Bulls | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb247…bb09backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 26.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked South Florida Bulls | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed South Florida Bulls | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…f6c9backed South Florida Bulls | 40c | 25.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…50d3backed South Florida Bulls | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed South Florida Bulls | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed South Florida Bulls | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls | 73c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsthis page
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-8.5)Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 169.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.