Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5332b269dc5cd6f35a25f39d1ba7b2d7792d39e39572498b89b2ab4af9a14aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 16c | 21,115$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.65 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 18,917$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.41 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 7,574$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 18c | 6,007$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.13 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 18c | 5,849$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.31 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 75c | 5,376$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.02 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 17c | 5,219$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.01 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 17c | 4,652$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 3,025$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.85 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 14c | 3,000$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 17c | 2,600$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.99 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 17c | 2,367$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.23 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 19c | 1,838$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 13c | 1,581$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 31c | 1,317$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.35 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…8787backed No | 19c | 1,226$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…15d4backed No | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 18c | 920.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 17c | 909.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 18c | 799.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 66c | 700.02$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 17c | 613.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 18c | 513.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 67c | 453.61$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 17c | 372.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 73c | 365.54$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 329.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 17c | 299.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 34c | 293.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 33c | 269.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 26c | 260.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked No | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…96dbbacked No | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed No | 18c | 231.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed No | 16c | 199.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 61c | 194.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked No | 26c | 192.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 18c | 183.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 27c | 165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 20c | 149.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 71c | 141.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 80c | 138.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 20c | 136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 15c | 105.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 79c | 101.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 76c | 88.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes | 61c | 82.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…ae0dbacked Yes | 70c | 73.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…0522backed Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked No | 18c | 56.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Yes | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d0…246ebacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…6dc5backed Yes | 60c | 25.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-10-13?No won
- Will Ukraine vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.