South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2d53b86d3072bfc1fdbfc80dcc339b7e8b526fa958682e2aa8476b73732b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e6c…1c08backed Yes | 75c | 4,558$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 2,550$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,033$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 73c | 1,374$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 71c | 1,250$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.58 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 31c | 977.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.21 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 74c | 933.81$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 71c | 884.5$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 29c | 800.44$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 504$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…f82cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Yes | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 30c | 399.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 27c | 260.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…610dbacked No | 47c | 213.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 206.09$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 175.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 28c | 163.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 28c | 160.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes | 67c | 152.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 28c | 117.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 30c | 100.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 30c | 95.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 50c | 82.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +3,280.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 72c | 81.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…5041backed Yes | 72c | 72.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…39f9backed Yes | 74c | 55.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…5320backed Yes | 30c | 53.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked No | 30c | 34.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 67c | 30.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Yes | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…c7a7backed Yes | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…1787backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…da31backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…1d5abacked Yes | 69c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.