College Football · resolved market
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x372e53acccc8e0a8a6e10bf6ac7e646914ca5c6d954e572df52d1a397eccf687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Stateof Missouri State, Middle Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Missouri State | 55c | 529,000$292,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236,580.7 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 308,814$136,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,847.49 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Middle Tennessee | 46c | 107,527$49,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,462.26 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Middle Tennessee | 43c | 44,918$19,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,505.99 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Missouri State | 60c | 24,401$14,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,870.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Middle Tennessee | 44c | 20,410$9,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,074.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Middle Tennessee | 46c | 18,000$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Middle Tennessee | 38c | 16,764$6,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.5 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Missouri State | 58c | 14,483$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Missouri State | 57c | 13,966$7,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Missouri State | 57c | 12,127$6,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.49 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Missouri State | 54c | 11,809$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Missouri State | 55c | 11,739$6,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.46 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri State | 57c | 11,400$6,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.81 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Middle Tennessee | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 8,528$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.81 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee | 43c | 8,114$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.45 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Middle Tennessee | 42c | 6,788$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.81 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Missouri State | 57c | 6,537$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.8 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Middle Tennessee | 43c | 6,032$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.53 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…3fcdbacked Missouri State | 58c | 5,852$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 5,597$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…df32backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 5,200$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Middle Tennessee | 50c | 5,026$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…e0d1backed Missouri State | 56c | 4,900$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…986ebacked Missouri State | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…6dccbacked Missouri State | 56c | 4,700$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…13ddbacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 4,495$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…1c31backed Missouri State | 55c | 4,370$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…12bfbacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 4,366$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…f94cbacked Middle Tennessee | 46c | 4,300$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…e942backed Middle Tennessee | 46c | 4,200$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…c4efbacked Missouri State | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee | 41c | 3,747$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.85 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 3,600$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.97 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 3,500$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.98 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…06f8backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 3,150$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 2,887$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.37 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…5b1ebacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 2,885$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked Missouri State | 55c | 2,835$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 2,750$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Missouri State | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Missouri State | 56c | 2,446$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.63 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…c3b7backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 2,178$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…5340backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…70edbacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 2,011$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Middle Tennessee | 41c | 2,006$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.69 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…e6d2backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,810$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…8029backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 1,810$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…828cbacked Missouri State | 56c | 1,809$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,809$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 1,809$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Middle Tennessee | 39c | 1,794$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.04 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Middle Tennessee | 46c | 1,790$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d85…43d8backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,790$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Middle Tennessee | 46c | 1,787$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…2523backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,787$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,649$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…07babacked Missouri State | 56c | 1,646$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Middle Tennessee | 1c | 1,582$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Middle Tennessee | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Missouri State | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 1,468$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d0…743dbacked Missouri State | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Missouri State | 25c | 1,292$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.28 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,286$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Missouri State | 67c | 1,195$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Missouri State | 53c | 1,180$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…236cbacked Missouri State | 53c | 1,178$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Middle Tennessee | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.15 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…8507backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,146$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Missouri State | 56c | 1,120$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.67 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State | 55c | 1,078$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Middle Tennessee | 6c | 1,059$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Missouri State | 55c | 1,000$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Missouri State | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…8f26backed Middle Tennessee | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…5e0abacked Missouri State | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Middle Tennessee | 44c | 999.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Middle Tennessee | 44c | 900$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.92 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…4659backed Missouri State | 56c | 880$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Middle Tennessee | 47c | 875.14$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.32 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…03b6backed Missouri State | 56c | 870$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Missouri State | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Middle Tennessee | 53c | 842.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Middle Tennessee | 51c | 798$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.98 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Missouri State | 69c | 797.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Middle Tennessee | 44c | 749.99$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Missouri State | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri State | 54c | 661$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.1 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Middle Tennessee | 46c | 603.8$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Missouri State | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Middle Tennessee | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 577.78$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4a02backed Middle Tennessee | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State vs. Middle Tennesseethis page
- Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 49.5Under won
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)Missouri State won
- Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)Middle Tennessee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.