College Football · resolved market
O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68776c1a5e14a2ba6c45e4da3f2713b2b8a1b03e3052e512e5077d06604e1bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f4…a427backed Over | 1c | 15,494$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 53c | 8,985$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Over | 50c | 5,450$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,549$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.08 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 53c | 2,707$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.44 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ada…475bbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 51c | 27.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 51.5this page
- Missouri State vs. Middle TennesseeMissouri State won
- Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee: O/U 49.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)Missouri State won
- Spread: Missouri State (-2.5)Middle Tennessee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.