AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f606569acc4d2871bf0cae1b53d0a12dae9f289d2f1011b4ead72b066ac00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbee…e8b5backed No | 5c | 29,665$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 72c | 9,942$7,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 9,899$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 7,748$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.29 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 3c | 7,611$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 1c | 6,010$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…7935backed No | 7c | 4,107$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 2c | 4,017$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb0…1c06backed No | 3c | 3,920$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 80c | 3,605$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 74c | 3,594$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 26c | 3,487$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.72 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 3c | 2,700$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…f17ebacked No | 35c | 2,287$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 1c | 2,245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…7007backed No | 2c | 1,820$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…87debacked No | 11c | 1,820$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…8caabacked No | 10c | 1,560$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 75c | 1,338$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 24c | 1,150$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…cc34backed No | 9c | 1,063$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5e9dbacked No | 3c | 1,003$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed No | 11c | 999.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…ebcdbacked No | 13c | 846.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed No | 1c | 799.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed No | 6c | 730.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked No | 6c | 718.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…01dbbacked No | 7c | 714.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…a859backed No | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…10f2backed Yes | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…56b0backed No | 7c | 699.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 63c | 697.26$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…0c91backed No | 6c | 693.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…93a4backed No | 9c | 670$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346b…53dcbacked No | 5c | 663.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 10c | 655.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…4cefbacked No | 7c | 611.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 10c | 405.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…0cf4backed No | 5c | 380$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…496abacked Yes | 66c | 379.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd69…a2e1backed Yes | 60c | 375.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 340.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…e21fbacked No | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…c371backed No | 6c | 317.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 63c | 311$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed No | 24c | 310.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 283.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 74c | 258$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 36c | 253.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…072cbacked Yes | 80c | 250.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb1…76d5backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 60c | 248.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 61c | 244.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…d2d8backed Yes | 77c | 235.35$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed No | 5c | 209.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…49dcbacked No | 5c | 198.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 74c | 189.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…f92cbacked No | 41c | 185.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…13e4backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…c28abacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…7415backed Yes | 74c | 165.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe531…f0a4backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 39c | 158.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked No | 40c | 157.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Yes | 60c | 157.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…25e7backed No | 13c | 153.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…c483backed No | 23c | 151.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…9480backed Yes | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 7c | 143.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked Yes | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…50f6backed Yes | 60c | 125.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…85dbbacked Yes | 68c | 116.31$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x803c…bbbebacked No | 41c | 113.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d65…061ebacked No | 26c | 113.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 41c | 110.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…9477backed No | 42c | 102.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…01adbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efe…ea7ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…dcd7backed No | 25c | 99.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…b8aabacked Yes | 62c | 93.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…60ebbacked No | 41c | 91.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…061cbacked Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ff…8410backed Yes | 62c | 86.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 28c | 81.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…47eebacked No | 26c | 78.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…5ce9backed No | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…440ebacked Yes | 76c | 77.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…29e3backed No | 14c | 77.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…a2f0backed No | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…9a30backed Yes | 61c | 75.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…d230backed No | 40c | 72.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?this page
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on January 31?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?No won
- Will another model be the top AI model on January 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.