Premier League · resolved market
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a12253b7d2ecdf6e3d4287bb2845165df3201e2c69025f233b70d0bf56d030b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 37c | 60,000$22,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 56c | 29,742$16,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,023.97 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 26,752$19,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 73c | 1,751$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.42 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 454.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 33c | 437.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 432.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 49c | 306.71$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 74c | 206.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed No | 51c | 99.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 48c | 89.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…b1b3backed Yes | 49c | 49.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…6dadbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-10-22?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.