Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: Canada vs Italy (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff342c6d92e8cad72143037e3e03bdb7dd05268f90c7dd1774ee17e7546dc6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Canada, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Italy | 45c | 6,962$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.3 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…03b4backed Canada | 0c | 3,833$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f6b2backed Canada | 65c | 1,491$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed Italy | 53c | 1,220$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.03 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Canada | 40c | 1,042$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.61 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed Italy | 39c | 864.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.22 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Italy | 47c | 752.02$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.78 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Canada | 34c | 717.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Canada | 65c | 637$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked Canada | 69c | 608.68$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…67fdbacked Italy | 53c | 549.88$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Canada | 54c | 471.6$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Italy | 54c | 408.17$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Canada | 58c | 290.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Canada | 72c | 278.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Canada | 62c | 255.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Canada | 59c | 230.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Canada | 47c | 226.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…e558backed Canada | 44c | 213.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Canada | 45c | 203.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…6951backed Canada | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Canada | 42c | 195$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Canada | 54c | 189.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Canada | 52c | 175$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Canada | 66c | 159.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Italy | 40c | 145.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…0d11backed Canada | 47c | 137.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Italy | 40c | 133.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…e4dabacked Canada | 75c | 127$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Canada | 58c | 125.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…aa88backed Italy | 41c | 122.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…e84cbacked Canada | 48c | 116.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Italy | 37c | 107.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canada | 47c | 104.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Italy | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Canada | 62c | 79.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Italy | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Canada | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77c…3ca4backed Canada | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd85backed Canada | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…dff7backed Italy | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Italy | 54c | 50.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Italy | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Italy | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Italy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Italy | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1701…ecadbacked Canada | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Italy | 55c | 37.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…bc8cbacked Canada | 58c | 37.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Italy | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…592fbacked Italy | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Canada | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Canada | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…145dbacked Italy | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…d536backed Canada | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Canada | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Canada | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked Canada | 68c | 21.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Italy | 49c | 21.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e9…7827backed Canada | 58c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…367abacked Canada | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…85c9backed Canada | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…3f83backed Italy | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.