Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: India vs. South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e1a3f960a748cc386b97f8f5fa6d2efa178a0257b4b7c76191a9c0ef53b147e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof India, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 28c | 3,911$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.71 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed South Africa | 66c | 3,020$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.11 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked India | 70c | 2,250$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Africa | 36c | 2,067$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.38 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked South Africa | 38c | 1,529$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.93 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked India | 70c | 1,267$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.71 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed South Africa | 26c | 748.55$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked South Africa | 63c | 640.53$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked South Africa | 51c | 597.37$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed South Africa | 36c | 457.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed South Africa | 10c | 450$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.75 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…d191backed South Africa | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed South Africa | 26c | 271.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed South Africa | 36c | 220.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked India | 66c | 156$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e39fbacked India | 65c | 152.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…e269backed South Africa | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed South Africa | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed India | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…8516backed India | 71c | 72.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…62e6backed South Africa | 46c | 60.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed India | 71c | 54.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked South Africa | 33c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…0dddbacked South Africa | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked India | 71c | 45.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed South Africa | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…1850backed South Africa | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…5386backed India | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed South Africa | 35c | 33.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…7591backed South Africa | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed South Africa | 46c | 25.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…ae2abacked India | 71c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.