Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan T20 Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Oct 28)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7ac0b428b71cfcd766ffe12945e8e415134f8880bf28f63dd8b33c6c1d4e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof Pakistan, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa | 49c | 8,387$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,292.12 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Pakistan | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c88…b53abacked Pakistan | 2c | 2,637$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…db91backed Pakistan | 2c | 2,459$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Pakistan | 55c | 1,618$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.08 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pakistan | 53c | 1,549$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.42 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Pakistan | 24c | 678.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked South Africa | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pakistan | 43c | 502.28$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.16 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…0dd0backed South Africa | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Pakistan | 58c | 498.59$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.38 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Pakistan | 57c | 410$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.75 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Pakistan | 53c | 375.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked South Africa | 42c | 280.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pakistan | 47c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Pakistan | 55c | 180.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked South Africa | 55c | 169.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed South Africa | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…ed94backed South Africa | 63c | 128.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e0…3878backed Pakistan | 41c | 127.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…87a9backed South Africa | 73c | 118.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…8da6backed South Africa | 67c | 114.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…e671backed South Africa | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Pakistan | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b05…dad9backed South Africa | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa | 75c | 86.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…9ce9backed South Africa | 74c | 76.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked South Africa | 47c | 70.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pakistan | 57c | 70.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Pakistan | 51c | 70.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Pakistan | 51c | 68.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed South Africa | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Pakistan | 49c | 61.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed South Africa | 44c | 51.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…638ebacked South Africa | 52c | 50.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…631dbacked Pakistan | 21c | 49.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed South Africa | 42c | 47.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed South Africa | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked South Africa | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…3294backed Pakistan | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed South Africa | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed South Africa | 46c | 23.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.