Earnings · resolved market
Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5bc87893fe2469451d7376362ed4099705322095c5d81fcca8f9005896043c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 61c | 534.31$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.31 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed No | 40c | 491.82$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 16c | 486.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 768 | 37.4%287 W · 481 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 60c | 421.81$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 15c | 399.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 473 | 38.5%182 W · 291 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 57c | 287.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 28c | 277.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 26c | 275$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 49c | 270.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 251.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 22c | 231.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 19c | 208.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 28c | 191.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 15c | 163.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 68c | 146.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 71c | 140$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…a381backed No | 16c | 122.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 27c | 111.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe701…942ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 17c | 97.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 22c | 89.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 86.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 14c | 84.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 78.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 73c | 63.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 582 | 39%227 W · 355 L | -25.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…7cd2backed Yes | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 71c | 40.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…dababacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed Yes | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a24…1219backed Yes | 48c | 30.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…d8cdbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.