Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d349c07d953752057351f024296f4f7813c109a66fbed5c9a88c52ea6f84aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 52c | 48,241$24,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,348.87 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 31,718$15,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,365.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 14,410$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,952$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.2 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 48c | 2,519$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.38 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,068$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 51c | 980.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 616.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 498$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 485.01$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.11 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 47c | 233.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 51c | 200.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…e6dbbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…b9d2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…d2d8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 37c | 178.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 177.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 51c | 171$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 48c | 165.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…69b5backed Yes | 76c | 113.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 24c | 109.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 48c | 105.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 46c | 97.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…ae83backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 52c | 96.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…f2e8backed Yes | 52c | 95.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…212abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…9d43backed Yes | 51c | 83.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 53c | 79.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 53c | 67.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 47c | 59.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 52c | 47.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…e9babacked Yes | 53c | 46.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…fab4backed No | 49c | 39.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…cb0abacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…7591backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…0fa7backed Yes | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89de…9bc9backed Yes | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Yes | 76c | 13.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.