TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrieof Royer, Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x60cd…a1b6backed Royer20c14,871$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.25630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Royer15c6,958$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.9124841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Royer18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Royer34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Royer17c4,274$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.32,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norrie65c3,880$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.4465647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77dd…926dbacked Royer14c3,661$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.072123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Norrie60c2,327$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.7810060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Royer44c2,295$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9993046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Norrie79c2,089$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.652,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Norrie63c1,986$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.273857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Royer37c1,800$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.9924558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royer38c1,738$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.3455143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9502…6d3cbacked Royer39c1,534$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd4…11b4backed Norrie61c1,498$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…eed2backed Norrie61c1,468$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…9150backed Royer39c1,432$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c1…b248backed Norrie61c1,389$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Royer9c1,388$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.928313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie72c1,385$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.71,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca76…e5b2backed Royer39c1,365$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c91…00eabacked Royer39c1,365$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.35520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8e…b07fbacked Norrie61c1,331$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royer35c1,313$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Norrie70c1,296$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.6275547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f53…0855backed Norrie61c1,287$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d1…0a95backed Royer39c1,268$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d9…c7f1backed Royer39c1,256$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7067…9ababacked Royer39c1,253$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Norrie64c1,253$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.7519131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90f…7b32backed Norrie63c1,240$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.83050%15 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9830…5690backed Norrie61c1,232$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0274…102dbacked Norrie61c1,206$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Norrie63c1,200$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3113253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe30f…e6eebacked Norrie61c1,198$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5c…ddaabacked Royer39c1,136$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+74.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Royer18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19024844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Royer15c1,022$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.471414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Royer36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.997226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Norrie77c846.73$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.941,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Royer38c706$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.761,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Norrie65c637$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.582458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie67c600$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19622641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Royer18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Royer39c513.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Royer38c491$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5838348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Royer37c475.63$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.694835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Royer36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14415447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Norrie66c371.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.356250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Royer40c367.19$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.517432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Royer28c326.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.916644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Norrie62c320.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5143158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed Norrie64c313.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.722171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Norrie66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.036530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Royer35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Royer38c280.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6718241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Royer12c256.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9628139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Norrie62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.58248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Royer14c220.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Norrie65c218.47$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8525147%118 W · 133 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…a062backed Royer14c216.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Royer14c202.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Norrie63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Royer39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7822840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Royer17c187.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.843855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee13…0ff0backed Royer37c184.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Norrie58c171.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…559abacked Norrie62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd53b…c8c2backed Norrie62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Norrie63c158.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9746556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e46…6b55backed Norrie63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Norrie63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Norrie65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Norrie66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Norrie66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5248043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Norrie66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512572%18 W · 7 L+5.9wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+97.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x647d…3cd9backed Royer37c149.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.435358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5399…fab2backed Norrie70c144.86$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b07…9e81backed Royer22c143.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Royer33c136.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.092626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Norrie61c119.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x728f…b55dbacked Royer11c115$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Royer37c110.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.075831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Norrie62c104.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5488446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Royer20c103.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7517442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Norrie62c101$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3836464.3%234 W · 130 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Norrie74c100.25$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Royer40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Norrie62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3812861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Norrie62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.523852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Royer38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Norrie63c95.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2332161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Norrie65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3135753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Norrie65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3138356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Norrie62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6522965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Royer39c77.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Norrie65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9225355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Norrie64c73.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Norrie68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Royer20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.