TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No69c16,653$11,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,140.0753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c16,224$4,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.773,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c14,864$3,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,787.461,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No74c14,843$11,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.6798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44da…e225backed No70c13,581$9,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,074.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c11,846$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.199340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c9,455$6,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.0770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes35c7,681$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.235440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c4,875$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.7972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c4,696$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.481,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No80c4,061$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes30c3,283$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98512951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked No67c2,687$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes2c2,503$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No62c2,448$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2110840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes30c2,429$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.8914652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c2,315$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed Yes31c1,774$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No69c1,676$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…500cbacked Yes45c1,524$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No62c1,373$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes31c1,250$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.4391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.110848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes32c942.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes6c925.38$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.374531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c899.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0652639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes13c890.28$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1835247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…5d31backed No68c857.84$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes16c760.16$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4120535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes25c749.83$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed No67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+43.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No71c670.06$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.21,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes13c613$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c558.46$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c555.6$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes31c540.02$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.416346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No72c528.61$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes31c512$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1627047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes33c480.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.73751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c464.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No75c452.88$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5817244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No41c449.93$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.376636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes15c409$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes4c393.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.598032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes7c387.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes32c360$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.214349%70 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes28c347$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.164949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Yes33c333.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.915051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab4…077fbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a2…e17dbacked No80c320.56$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes32c318.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.27757.1%44 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe247…edf1backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes32c302.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6812650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No69c290.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.923066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes30c284.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1110628.3%30 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No70c283$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.97951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Yes29c263.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.212254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes31c260.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8237649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No68c256.42$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.059268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes7c251.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6120648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes28c246.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed No68c215$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes32c210.62$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes32c203.95$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1512356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7227344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No68c193.06$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e0…7387backed No76c192.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.11785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes5c188.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9d…63f9backed Yes29c170.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c170$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes7c160.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6730444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No66c160$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9313464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes30c159$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.74528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No64c158.34$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6880249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes32c154.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes28c148$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9918456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…587ebacked Yes14c143.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes31c141.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.314957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes29c140$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No68c139.97$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4711144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes30c138$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.452923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes11c135$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0731446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked No80c134.84$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Yes32c121.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No44c113.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.78344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Yes32c111.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.562673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.