Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f0f9b8c424e412b0e677a1e3e10a4aba797851a500d424f0eb4ce130b6e3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 39c | 19,830$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,725.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 18,111$11,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.21 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 38c | 11,754$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 31c | 5,471$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,397$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 63c | 2,514$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.37 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…0af7backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…3d37backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,888$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 72c | 1,793$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 29c | 1,728$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked No | 78c | 1,627$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 66c | 1,546$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.39 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 1,405$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.23 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 1,032$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.26 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 63c | 965.32$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 919$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1993…0c02backed Yes | 75c | 670$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 58c | 655$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.7 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 599.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 38c | 526.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 480.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 475$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 36c | 363.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 25c | 347.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 327.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 37c | 254.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 38c | 218.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…3f82backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 38c | 186.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 26c | 165.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…fdc9backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 156.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…d392backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…abccbacked Yes | 38c | 111.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 37c | 108.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 38c | 104.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 37c | 101.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed No | 64c | 96.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…4216backed Yes | 38c | 75.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…0a95backed No | 64c | 64.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 38c | 61.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…03b8backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa95c…dcd3backed Yes | 38c | 35.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 63c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…2354backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?this page
- Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.