Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a4ae87357fd98f1ff32716abed4fda4b26173b1718ad53eb639b27596ba8cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 3,004$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.37 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 42c | 2,029$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 1,995$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,498$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.14 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 1,488$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.12 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…dfbabacked No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 69c | 1,412$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.72 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 1,086$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.52 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 36c | 1,034$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 32c | 843.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 31c | 827.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.49 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 755.77$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.51 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 744.39$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 31c | 645.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 25c | 541.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.09 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 25c | 507.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 456.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.61 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5164…f814backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 35c | 348.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked No | 69c | 290.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 40c | 282.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 69c | 249$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…6840backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -77%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 45c | 111.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Yes | 32c | 93.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 22c | 91.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe052…3108backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…03b8backed Yes | 20c | 75.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed Yes | 21c | 71.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 41c | 65.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 30c | 65.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked No | 69c | 63.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a471backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked No | 69c | 55.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…2f69backed Yes | 32c | 42.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed Yes | 32c | 35.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…1f07backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1c75backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b94…7937backed Yes | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7a…5f3abacked No | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-10-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.