WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e44460d842d9075e957fb51fabe0dcb0d6005ad6e44bfc06cdc6298a2aa8e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 9,400$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.92 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 54c | 9,096$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 4,846$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Under | 52c | 4,800$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 3,313$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.14 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 48c | 3,203$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,505$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.22 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,479$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.5 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Under | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 48c | 2,130$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.47 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 50c | 1,511$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 935$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.45 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0e…b995backed Under | 51c | 923.61$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 35c | 865$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 50c | 821.8$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 50c | 796.8$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 738.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.96 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Over | 48c | 727.65$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 556.98$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 526.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.89 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Under | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 51c | 356$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Over | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 217.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 216.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…ac44backed Under | 35c | 198.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 162.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 119.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Over | 48c | 101.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 80c | 99.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 48c | 83.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 78.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 72.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…413cbacked Over | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 62.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 51c | 42.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 52c | 40.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 40.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…6aa5backed Under | 35c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Under | 35c | 38.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 35c | 38.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Under | 35c | 38.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 51c | 37.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 35.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 49c | 31.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd732…0fd0backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 45c | 26.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 26.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 52c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.