WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b559acffbe475480a20f5037f6917b038dda4a9c4004a307c2ae37121489026
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Minnesota Lynx, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 11,111$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 8,506$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.82 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 3,793$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.94 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 3,000$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,856$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.27 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,853$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,510$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.72 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,506$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.5 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,337$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,248$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.08 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,208$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 678.79$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 510.88$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.33 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 383.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 39c | 340.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 317$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 299.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 290$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 248.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 242.47$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.24 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 221.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 200.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…ca89backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 195.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 108.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 100.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 73.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed Minnesota Lynx | 19c | 73.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 67.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 54.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 53.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Seattle Storm | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 41.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 36.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Seattle Storm | 44c | 36.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 35.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 33.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 38c | 32.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ba…cf3fbacked Seattle Storm | 78c | 25.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8683…56c7backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…4f8dbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.