WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa005706e464460e4ee6c37e2d776209e4566f6e1daf73f29b7e00954f335c230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 12,325$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.16 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Under | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 4,500$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 2,695$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.3 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 1,914$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.28 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 1,791$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.29 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 1,562$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Under | 52c | 1,549$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.2 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 1,548$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.59 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,381$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 46c | 1,335$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 21c | 1,291$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 33c | 1,012$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 35c | 953.37$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.68 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 73c | 880.93$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 47c | 674.64$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.56 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 30c | 604$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.01 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 512$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.92 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 432.74$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.35 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 386.29$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 384.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.18 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 380.95$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 367$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 36c | 301.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 50c | 203$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 163.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 22c | 157$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 33c | 88.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 23c | 84.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 69c | 72.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 69.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 61.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 59.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 48.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Over | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 41.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 41c | 39.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 35c | 38.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 36c | 32.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…b52dbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 49c | 23.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 45c | 22.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Over | 65c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 78c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.