WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fcad168eebf3be49d120ac74bbdab8c24f9b3bfb041729ec36df687bba0133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Minnesota Lynx, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 3,974$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.45 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 3,878$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,749$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.49 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.83 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,523$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.26 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.39 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,236$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Minnesota Lynx | 35c | 1,214$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 27c | 1,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 9c | 1,070$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 906$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 31c | 733.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.84 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 4c | 719$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 702.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Lynx | 4c | 610$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…306dbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +77%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Minnesota Lynx | 17c | 282.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Minnesota Lynx | 8c | 259.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 256$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 251.93$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 249.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 218.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Seattle Storm | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 74c | 122$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Seattle Storm | 68c | 90.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 90.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 89.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 77.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…1b3abacked Minnesota Lynx | 60c | 59.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 56.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 56.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 34c | 36.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Seattle Storm | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Seattle Storm | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-9.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.