Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45cb022a9b882f95480302f7590564693ee5f5b8c061e1e9de538d8456f63c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $535,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked Yes | 14c | 242,857$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 14c | 71,429$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 1c | 39,715$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 15c | 34,306$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.26 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…f175backed Yes | 1c | 12,157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 14c | 12,043$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 7,532$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.93 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 4c | 7,388$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…b195backed Yes | 2c | 2,804$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,803$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.33 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 3c | 2,442$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 9c | 2,159$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,970$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 1,825$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Yes | 9c | 1,677$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 2c | 1,431$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 3c | 1,399$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 14c | 1,383$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,162$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 3c | 989.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 3c | 775$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 12c | 566$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…616dbacked Yes | 13c | 488.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 402$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 11c | 385.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e4e6backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 12c | 354$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 337$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 12c | 296.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 12c | 274.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…d839backed Yes | 8c | 185.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 12c | 160.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 156.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…a8a2backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 12c | 96.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…b1a8backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 13c | 83.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.