Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f172fca6b16f787f6a859ef9bc918dcf80eee45cb55baf434e67f7588d77bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,342,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,799,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,342,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 19c | 410,599$78,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,013.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 18c | 317,079$56,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,023.64 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 18c | 118,806$21,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,934.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…b1babacked No | 19c | 83,535$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 19c | 81,626$15,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,416.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 20c | 59,299$11,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,859.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 1c | 50,989$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 18c | 49,999$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.76 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 19c | 49,990$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.1 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 18c | 39,260$7,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,066.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 16c | 30,686$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.15 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 17c | 28,414$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.36 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 19c | 22,276$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.81 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 18c | 19,520$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 18c | 19,300$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 16c | 18,697$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.11 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed No | 19c | 16,526$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 5c | 16,098$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.81 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 19c | 14,800$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.23 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked No | 19c | 11,838$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 80c | 11,590$9,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.94 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 2c | 10,398$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 3c | 10,179$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked No | 3c | 7,100$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 19c | 5,972$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.65 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 80c | 5,046$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed No | 19c | 5,005$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.94 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 19c | 4,999$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 17c | 4,742$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.01 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 17c | 4,375$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.74 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ba…8fc9backed No | 2c | 3,636$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 18c | 2,735$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.26 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed No | 8c | 2,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked Yes | 79c | 2,200$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 10c | 1,970$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 1,737$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 17c | 1,714$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 79c | 1,689$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 7c | 1,618$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…9978backed No | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 80c | 1,400$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 16c | 1,321$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 19c | 1,221$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 19c | 1,211$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked No | 18c | 1,210$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 80c | 1,200$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…3a8fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,190$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 5c | 1,175$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…a061backed No | 18c | 1,073$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…4762backed No | 2c | 1,062$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…305dbacked No | 2c | 1,054$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…50cbbacked No | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 80c | 941.45$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 16c | 921.47$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 16c | 889$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 5c | 789.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 80c | 775.45$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 13c | 769.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 19c | 768.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 17c | 765.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 16c | 655.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 640.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0b…48fdbacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 80c | 620$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 19c | 620$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 599.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…54bcbacked No | 9c | 584.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed No | 22c | 550$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 19c | 550$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 19c | 547.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Yes | 79c | 506.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…87b2backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed No | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 16c | 472$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 18c | 449.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 19c | 437.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…ea25backed No | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 19c | 329.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 17c | 319.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 16c | 314.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…e683backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 19c | 303$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked No | 19c | 280$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 279.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 16c | 275.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 19c | 266.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.