South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense vs. CA Unión end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61762fd3e0a8719dd295c6ac36021542be4222376951c7ba051dc10bedf21582
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 13c | 4,172$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.38 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 2,605$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.54 | 2,365 | 34.5%817 W · 1,548 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 2,158$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.31 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 70c | 2,076$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.31 | 248 | 33.1%82 W · 166 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 1,616$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.22 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 14c | 1,615$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 1,569$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.92 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.75 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,033$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.45 | 1,257 | 53.6%674 W · 583 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 29c | 850$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 57c | 832.92$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.45 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked No | 66c | 744$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 644.81$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.57 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 62c | 523.49$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.17 | 291 | 40.2%117 W · 174 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 65c | 503.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 4c | 465.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 438.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 47c | 419.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 414.32$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 405$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 359 | 46.5%167 W · 192 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 65c | 391.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 431 | 62.2%268 W · 163 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 37c | 333.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 926 | 46.3%429 W · 497 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 22c | 321$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 56c | 312.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 273$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…fd92backed No | 66c | 230.64$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 34c | 213.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 201.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 62c | 198.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 26c | 192.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 25.5%40 W · 117 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 57c | 184$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 253 | 66.4%168 W · 85 L | +27.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Yes | 26c | 181.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 49c | 171.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 177 | 50.3%89 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 59c | 147$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bd…4c1fbacked Yes | 77c | 146.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 67c | 138.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 119.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 51c | 115.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 172 | 64%110 W · 62 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 21c | 114.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 35c | 114.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 560 | 46.1%258 W · 302 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 112$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 62c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 98.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 28c | 94.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 25c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Yes | 32c | 75.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 66c | 74.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 70.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 929 | 45.1%419 W · 510 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 27c | 59.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 21c | 58.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed No | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 50c | 56.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 22c | 52.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 79c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 72c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 28c | 46.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 49c | 46.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +134%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb808…780cbacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 44.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 206 | 55.8%115 W · 91 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…4ac9backed Yes | 26c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 147 | 70.1%103 W · 44 L | +22.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed Yes | 37c | 36.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 56c | 27.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…d737backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 56c | 18.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 68c | 15.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Unión end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-07-24?No won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-07-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.