NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2e6279b3f97b87a29f3b6656a9126b3319ac84025eaba3033ad5c04acd4c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Pacers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,272,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,224,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,272,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c67…377ebacked Pacers | 10c | 182,140$18,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,110.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers | 16c | 125,196$19,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,764.7 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Pacers | 14c | 74,721$10,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,213.67 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 47c | 62,883$29,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,365.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Pacers | 17c | 60,912$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.09 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Pacers | 17c | 21,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Pacers | 13c | 19,379$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers | 13c | 18,738$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Pacers | 15c | 17,249$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.42 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Pacers | 11c | 16,917$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.64 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 16c | 15,662$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.25 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pacers | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 16c | 13,743$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.49 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 33c | 10,696$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacers | 18c | 10,527$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.58 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 15c | 10,473$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.73 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pacers | 10c | 8,375$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.35 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pacers | 20c | 6,770$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.61 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 44c | 6,000$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,346.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Pacers | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 53c | 4,694$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.76 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pacers | 14c | 4,672$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pacers | 15c | 4,170$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.02 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 16c | 4,050$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429b…0688backed Pacers | 16c | 4,043$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers | 14c | 3,948$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.27 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pacers | 31c | 3,943$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pacers | 16c | 3,900$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers | 1c | 3,716$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 15c | 3,435$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 1c | 3,157$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 14c | 3,024$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Pacers | 24c | 2,858$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 1c | 2,850$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 74c | 2,342$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.81 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Pacers | 13c | 2,260$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…099fbacked Pacers | 17c | 2,100$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Pacers | 14c | 2,043$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.06 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 79c | 2,024$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7682…bc2ebacked Pacers | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 15c | 2,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pacers | 14c | 1,985$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pacers | 25c | 1,959$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.72 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 77c | 1,945$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pacers | 15c | 1,839$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Pacers | 11c | 1,814$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Pacers | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Pacers | 13c | 1,708$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Pacers | 18c | 1,677$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Pacers | 25c | 1,581$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Pacers | 20c | 1,501$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Pacers | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Pacers | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pacers | 15c | 1,387$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…e0dbbacked Pacers | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Warriors | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.23 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacers | 19c | 1,327$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Pacers | 18c | 1,250$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 440 | 40.5%178 W · 262 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc9…f722backed Pacers | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 8c | 1,138$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Pacers | 19c | 1,069$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Pacers | 20c | 1,013$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Pacers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pacers | 2c | 999.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers | 2c | 995$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 65c | 987.33$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.35 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Pacers | 20c | 978.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pacers | 15c | 972.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Pacers | 11c | 942.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…bf69backed Pacers | 13c | 881.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Pacers | 18c | 843.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pacers | 17c | 789$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 60c | 740$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…0ea6backed Warriors | 79c | 710.53$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Pacers | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…7820backed Pacers | 16c | 672.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Pacers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…8555backed Pacers | 17c | 627.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pacers | 14c | 612.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Warriors | 80c | 608.71$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Pacers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…276bbacked Pacers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…dab3backed Pacers | 15c | 524.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Pacers | 14c | 514.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Pacers | 14c | 503.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Pacers | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…1011backed Pacers | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 16c | 499.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Pacers | 16c | 496.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 63c | 471$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 63c | 471$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…e530backed Pacers | 16c | 446.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Pacers | 18c | 444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 16c | 403.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Pacers | 10c | 400.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pacers | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Pacers | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…bc1ebacked Pacers | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 76c | 399.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pacers | 13c | 399.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.