Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb183ebd43592ceb4b0e2a92071840f7d67e80ab4c8fbad83a7736f762ef91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $831,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 26c | 164,537$42,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,779.7 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 74c | 144,213$106,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,495.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 76c | 90,527$68,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,587 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 25c | 30,925$7,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,731.16 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 26c | 26,961$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,009.86 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 75c | 19,016$14,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,847.14 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 17,097$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.14 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 13,717$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.55 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 26c | 13,408$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.08 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 23c | 12,694$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.67 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 12,360$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 76c | 11,770$8,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.62 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 23c | 10,234$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.72 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 75c | 5,923$4,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 4,991$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.65 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 69c | 4,720$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 32c | 4,566$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 23c | 4,555$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 7c | 4,405$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 77c | 4,284$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 24c | 3,050$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 21c | 2,999$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.85 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 68c | 2,873$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.49 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 24c | 2,620$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.91 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,045$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.35 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 74c | 2,007$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.72 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 23c | 1,522$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.77 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 26c | 1,445$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.68 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 73c | 1,216$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.22 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 26c | 1,177$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,144$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 25c | 1,136$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 26c | 999.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.75 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 69c | 937.38$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 73c | 875.38$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 834.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 76c | 747$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…3418backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 24c | 657$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 77c | 651$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 75c | 606$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 76c | 603.46$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 26c | 600$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 558.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 3c | 525.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 75c | 505$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 26c | 465.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 24c | 447.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 69c | 419.36$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 25c | 402$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1202…6fe7backed No | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 23c | 399.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 77c | 378.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…6e7ebacked No | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 24c | 333.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 26c | 309$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 75c | 305$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked No | 27c | 284.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 26c | 220$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 74c | 218.61$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…0e38backed Yes | 76c | 212$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 5c | 200.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…64e1backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 78c | 196.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 75c | 195.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 75c | 190.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 75c | 180.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 75c | 171.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Newcastle vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.