TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over55c28,292$15,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,847.581,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43fd…99a7backed Under46c11,108$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.683647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c5,861$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.841,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c4,494$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.5828652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over54c3,333$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.1822546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Under45c3,117$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.6510554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over53c2,706$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.71,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c2,688$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.681,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over52c2,123$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.071,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under48c2,080$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…fc5bbacked Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Under2c1,900$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under45c1,875$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9414553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under47c1,797$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.7830152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Under7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9829412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c1,606$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.542,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under45c880$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4acb…ddd3backed Under47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Under45c648.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29218548.1%89 W · 96 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c449$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7822248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c404.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.832,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20290%0 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c384.41$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.661,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over54c370.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4648552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ee…31cabacked Under47c320.36$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under44c299.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9975946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under45c240.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3558346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012250%61 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c214.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.711,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9223249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9636652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under46c184.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0348452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under47c181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.074151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Over80c167.5$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Under37c166.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under46c163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.985255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Under29c159.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Over56c157.14$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.148845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under45c146$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.779350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c140$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d20…9871backed Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.365248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604334.9%15 W · 28 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.248149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.063351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.414945%67 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.826348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.827148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over56c76.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7978443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.226448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.28952.8%47 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under52c59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3949045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.559950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f2…9b10backed Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under44c49.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9827445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Over54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over55c45.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.810955%60 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Over53c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.741747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Over54c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821648.1%104 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.413046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419848.5%96 W · 102 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819647.4%93 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.418946%87 W · 102 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.419745.2%89 W · 108 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1819046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420045.5%91 W · 109 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.417249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under46c39.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.171,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked Under44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3516048.1%77 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3515647.4%74 W · 82 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38a6…bbd5backed Over53c39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over54c37.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.047948.1%38 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd45e…f11dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c3…81e3backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Over53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Under45c29.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.499048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over54c29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over56c27.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1749053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5713145.8%60 W · 71 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under45c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5713346.6%62 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Over56c23.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.273537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.