NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6d94997071841774e701dea5abcd9fefdb41bde9d56c0e4a97a8d51db322e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Blue Jackets, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 5,020$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.28 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ducks | 63c | 3,148$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.83 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Ducks | 65c | 2,559$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 1,803$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.57 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Ducks | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…778bbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jackets | 44c | 998.67$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.41 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…1e46backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 885$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ducks | 64c | 842$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.12 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Ducks | 68c | 591.34$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Blue Jackets | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4a…4365backed Ducks | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 399.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 380.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…1846backed Ducks | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…78adbacked Ducks | 64c | 342$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…d573backed Ducks | 64c | 333$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Ducks | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Ducks | 63c | 280$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 224.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…879abacked Ducks | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ducks | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 164.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…f52cbacked Ducks | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 147$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Ducks | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ducks | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 90.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ducks | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 63c | 75.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 65.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 61.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 54.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 49.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ducks | 63c | 48.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Ducks | 65c | 41.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Ducks | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Ducks | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Ducks | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 34.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 32.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 65c | 32.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 32.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Ducks | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Ducks | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Ducks | 66c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Ducks | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Ducks | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Ducks | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…9bd6backed Ducks | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Ducks | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Ducks | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. Blue JacketsBlue Jackets won
- Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.