TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Hornets47c79,897$37,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,664.5317031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers53c52,866$27,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,986.842,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Cavaliers54c43,532$23,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,507.5217354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Cavaliers51c13,002$6,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6313636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Cavaliers54c12,149$6,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,560.4239051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets46c10,260$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.81,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d7…7cf1backed Hornets49c8,691$4,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.381973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x21d2…d3ebbacked Cavaliers51c8,236$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.362050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x190a…6ae2backed Cavaliers51c8,037$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.721266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c20…7d4fbacked Hornets49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0802552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…a686backed Hornets49c7,582$3,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Hornets49c5,190$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.651753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Hornets49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5506767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Hornets46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3504245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Hornets46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35017744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Hornets46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1881,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets46c1,660$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers53c1,626$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.272,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Hornets47c1,068$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Hornets56c1,001$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.4912143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Hornets46c753.89$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.17252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers40c702.15$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets47c687.64$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.958,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Hornets46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1711834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Hornets65c616.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.461752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets46c611$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers51c600.07$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.139,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Cavaliers54c554$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets4c551.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9239018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets47c472.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets48c468.23$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Cavaliers4c456.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Cavaliers50c433.5$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.751,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be8…c29bbacked Cavaliers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers51c306$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Hornets47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15918556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…67cbbacked Hornets46c299.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Hornets47c270.21$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Cavaliers54c268.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.929443.6%41 W · 53 L-12.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers54c249.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9985147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Hornets46c222.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9752643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Hornets47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Hornets47c193.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5312245.9%56 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Cavaliers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Hornets46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9166046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Hornets46c165.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.218652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Hornets49c155.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.641,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…db87backed Hornets46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Hornets46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4310058%58 W · 42 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Hornets45c128.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Hornets47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.66845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Cavaliers53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.61450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Cavaliers52c119.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Cavaliers55c116.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.91030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hornets50c116$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.152,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Cavaliers54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Hornets47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3815440.3%62 W · 92 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Cavaliers78c101.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.331040%4 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Hornets48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5220143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4610…0eb3backed Cavaliers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495123.5%12 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…c123backed Hornets10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Hornets47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Cavaliers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5437357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Hornets46c93.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…ff81backed Hornets50c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers54c85.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hornets57c81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.832,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets52c80.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Hornets47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Hornets48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.928453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Hornets46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.225251.9%27 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Hornets46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.224141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Cavaliers54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Hornets47c63.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4127846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Hornets55c54.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.214357.3%82 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf331…c75abacked Hornets48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Hornets46c51.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2993849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Hornets46c51.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.582,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Cavaliers53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.518549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Hornets30c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9914127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Cavaliers54c45.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7913945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Cavaliers55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1707…9b9fbacked Hornets49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Hornets47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6245…5f7ebacked Hornets48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6712450%62 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…aadcbacked Hornets48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715248.7%74 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7481…279fbacked Hornets48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715651.9%81 W · 75 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Cavaliers61c41.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2562450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Hornets50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Cavaliers64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.618649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Hornets46c38.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7920456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Cavaliers55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208543.5%37 W · 48 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets36c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Cavaliers52c34.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.026434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets46c31.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa8…2e0dbacked Hornets47c31.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca70…6259backed Hornets47c31.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.713548.9%66 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c37…adf5backed Hornets48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cavaliers49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.