NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b638079c8fd8624ba7c2f12fcd72f4e1e5a172b3067a4b01ae534519a0c21d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 4,136$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.1 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…c31fbacked Under | 49c | 3,966$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 3,741$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.09 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,502$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,685$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 43c | 1,200$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…316abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 49c | 997.95$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 48c | 378.78$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 319.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 302$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 275$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 11c | 256.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 53c | 189.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 172.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Over | 53c | 169.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 50c | 112.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 53c | 95.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Over | 51c | 92.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Under | 50c | 86.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af0…1929backed Under | 50c | 86.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 51c | 77.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 52c | 76.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 49c | 70.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 50c | 43.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…88fcbacked Under | 48c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 40.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 39.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Over | 50c | 37.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…4205backed Over | 51c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 50c | 24.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 48c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…4153backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Hornets vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.