TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Hornets, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94d7…bef5backed Hornets0c10,601$30 inLost-$3025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Hornets28c1,789$506 inLost-$506.1111834.7%41 W · 77 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers62c1,764$1,086 inWon+$677.324,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers68c1,035$700 inWon+$334.85,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Hornets32c956.25$306 inLost-$3062123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Hornets45c888.89$400 inLost-$40015038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Hornets2c500$10 inLost-$10440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cavaliers69c406$280 inWon+$125.861,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hornets36c277.78$100 inLost-$1001,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cavaliers72c233.69$169 inWon+$64.861,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Cavaliers71c159.15$113 inWon+$46.1527161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe98…ce33backed Cavaliers71c140.85$100 inWon+$40.851275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Cavaliers70c140.05$98 inWon+$42.0218954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Hornets28c114.75$32 inLost-$32.1315639.1%61 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Hornets24c105.56$25 inLost-$25.523139.8%92 W · 139 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Hornets32c100.7$32 inLost-$3213946.8%65 W · 74 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Cavaliers71c95.76$68 inWon+$27.7744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Hornets35c50$17 inLost-$17.350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Hornets31c35.13$11 inLost-$10.8930454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cavaliers69c30$21 inWon+$9.32,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Cavaliers68c27.37$19 inWon+$8.769345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9c…aaf9backed Cavaliers68c20$14 inWon+$6.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cavaliers69c17.44$12 inWon+$5.4193849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Cavaliers72c16.58$12 inWon+$4.6417420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.