NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c3f1bee9e482b93367568a4db6cbab826864730015b78e5ae0343c53a4e26e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 39c | 3,097$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 60c | 1,500$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Under | 60c | 869.57$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Under | 61c | 820.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Under | 61c | 269.36$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 41c | 191.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 60c | 158$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 40c | 144.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 38c | 96.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Over | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. RangersCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.