NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff91fc65354c8c8f39a5e70fec0b555939abf57b21ed11b4c1ae7c3825bc047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Under | 48c | 396$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Over | 53c | 396$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 375.88$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 48c | 183$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 48c | 118$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…7d64backed Under | 59c | 88.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 54.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 52c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 52c | 46.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…114fbacked Under | 48c | 32.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 59c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. RangersCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.