NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa75731386925438aa8067a2ed7de0cab4f747a81b5657250d1c968560ce1d42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Rangers, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c20…7d4fbacked Canucks | 66c | 2,000$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d1…6c1cbacked Rangers | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 32c | 860$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canucks | 68c | 329.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Rangers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Canucks | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Rangers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rangers | 30c | 139.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Canucks | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canucks | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 67c | 78.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Canucks | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Canucks | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Rangers | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canucks | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Rangers | 31c | 53.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Canucks | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Canucks | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Canucks | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Canucks | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Canucks | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Rangers | 30c | 39.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Canucks | 67c | 36.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Canucks | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…7d7bbacked Rangers | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Rangers | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Rangers | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…0b37backed Rangers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Canucks | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Canucks | 67c | 28.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Canucks | 70c | 26.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Canucks | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Canucks | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Canucks | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e85…e5b5backed Canucks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…fee0backed Canucks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Canucks | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3b16backed Canucks | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Canucks | 70c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. RangersCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.